Jeff Bergosh Blog: A Better COVID-19 Dashboard is Now Here! "Recovered COVID-19 Cases" Number Now Tracked

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I am one member of a five person board. The opinions I express on this forum are mine only, and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the Escambia County Staff, Administrators, Employees, or anyone else associated with Escambia County Florida. I am interested in establishing this blog as a means of additional transparency to the public, outreach to the community, and information dissemination to all who choose to look. Feedback is welcome, but because public participation is equally encouraged, appropriate language and decorum is mandatory. Although this is not my campaign site for re-election--sometimes campaign related information will be discussed, therefore in an abundance of caution I add the following : Political Advertisement Paid for and Approved by Jeff Bergosh, Republican, for Escambia County Commissioner District 1

Wednesday, January 6, 2021

A Better COVID-19 Dashboard is Now Here! "Recovered COVID-19 Cases" Number Now Tracked

After months of work to make it better--we have succeeded.

Our County's CoVID-19 Dashboard is now reflecting a "Recovered" number along with all of the other important metrics that we track and provide daily.

The "Recovered" metric is an estimate based upon the approximate total cases prior to last month minus deaths. The staff will be using the Crude Recovery Rate and the Crude Case Fatality Rate applied to the number of cases to provide the estimated recovery rate. The Crude Case-Fatality Risk (CFR) is calculated by dividing the Total Number of Fatalities in Escambia County (Resident and Non-Resident) by the Total Number of Confirmed Cases in Escambia County (Resident and Non-Resident) and multiplying by 100%. The Crude Case-Recovery Risk (CRR) is calculated by subtracting the CFR from 100%. The CFR and CRR are not adjusted for the time delay from diagnosis to death which is highly variable from one to eight weeks. (CFR discussed in: The Lancet Infectious Diseases, October 19, 2020).

I've been pushing for the inclusion of this metric for the last 6 months-----as I know how vitally important it is to provide as much good data to citizens as quickly as possible. And to only provide the gross, cumulative "cases" number without the counterbalancing context of recovered cases was not giving a complete picture of the situation in Escambia County. And this is why many other states and countries also provide a "recovered" figure.

It took a while, but now it is here. I'm grateful to staff for working to keep this data up to date and easy to read.